Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I shall detract to dip our toes and leave our college football picks on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this season we do this, as the previous week of exhibition NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the best teams in the nation, and a legendary football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while I backed the Titans. Weve been swapping wins forth and back so it looks like it is my turn to get the wreath, as I will follow each of the squares laying the lumber onto a road favorite and endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days ahead of the Monday night affair, I see the line has spiked a half-point on the favorite, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its presently offered at a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I love the Irish but you are leaning on the Cardinals in this season-opening battle. Aside from the venue, why is it that you believe Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yup IMO and at least a convincing triumph, it said a great deal about the Steelers and Titans management. Lets proceed to real soccer, where the games count and so will our records with this one.
Recall Louisville used to play against opponents? They held their own and engineered upsets. These were enjoyable games to watch and also the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
But like the former Papa Johns Stadium and its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles at Appalachian State and will be out to alter the culture and win matches. This will not happen right away as the talent level is down in theVille. This is a moment for Louisville, a group which has the opportunity to begin taking actions in the right direction.
Ive read in which the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall as the lead running back. The shield, well, that makes me more worried than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins. You have up your Irish, please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest, flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a group coming from a dismal record where they went winless in ACC action this past year. This rebuild is akin to attempting to turn it and taking a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is facing a group that made it to the CFP this past year and owned one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points within the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders as well, averaging 33 points per match over.
My query is, how can be a quarterback like traveling whos slow to release, designed to gain any traction against a shield that is Irish? Especially when hes working with a trainer and an entirely new offensive strategy?
Please, Doug, rescue me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville will have the ability to keep up and I am desperate to the sage wisdom and handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to see in your last sentence youre coming on to the sunny side of sport gambling, or you are simply being the same shrewd a** you are. I will let the SBR readers who are currently making college football picks decide on this. I am the first to realize Louisville fully pumped and was, but 1-11 ATS final season.
But that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons. A new mindset is brought by A coach and his team will be sold by Satterfield on building a statement, with this being a game. Louisville does need to hope never and they will not be taken by the Irish for granted have much fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and all the blue is just 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS, if dishing out 20 or more specimens. This defense you mentioned may improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, if you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it is going to take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was being a bit facetious because though you have an handicapping that was impressive restart, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, because Louisville could be better but Id submit that they are trained with a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an equally inept trainer such as Petrino you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road would be square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy street chalk, but at times the public is correct, and in this situation they are. Until when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, next week, let us see what happens on Monday when the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)